UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Aurora 3
  
Aurora                
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 79.5536

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Illinois Wesleyan CCIW ( 5- 7, 74.6) 14- 9 228 H Carroll CCIW (10- 2, 87.8) 4-14 304 H Hope MIAA ( 8- 2, 88.2) 7-14 307 A Carthage CCIW (10- 2, 87.8) 2-11 311 A Pacific Northwest ( 5- 5, 76.9) 11- 9 312 A Lewis & Clark Northwest ( 6- 4, 83.8) 8-13 320 H Wisconsin-La Crosse WIAC ( 8- 3, 85.7) 7-15 321 H Wisconsin-Eau Claire WIAC ( 5- 3, 84.2) 10-16 325 H Concordia-Wisconsin NACC ( 6- 5, 74.5) 17- 4 328 A Beloit NACC ( 0-10, 63.9) 21- 2 401 A MSOE NACC ( 4- 9, 76.6) 10- 8 404 H Edgewood NACC ( 4- 9, 76.5) 12- 5 407 A Illinois Tech NACC ( 3-10, 71.9) 19- 3 411 A Lawrence NACC ( 1- 8, 68.1) 415 H Lake Forest NACC ( 7- 4, 83.2) 418 H Marian (WI) NACC ( 2-10, 72.2) 422 A Cornell College NACC ( 3- 8, 72.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Illinois Wesleyan      14- 9       5     5           0.39
   228 H Carroll                 4-14     -10    -8           0.00
   304 H Hope                    7-14      -7    -8           0.00
   307 A Carthage                2-11      -9    -9           0.00
   311 A Pacific                11- 9       2     2          -0.38
   312 A Lewis & Clark           8-13      -5    -5          -0.48
   320 H Wisconsin-La Crosse     7-15      -8    -6           0.00
   321 H Wisconsin-Eau Claire   10-16      -6    -4          -0.67
   325 H Concordia-Wisconsin    17- 4      13     5           0.00
   328 A Beloit                 21- 2      19    15           0.00
   401 A MSOE                   10- 8       2     3          -0.65
   404 H Edgewood               12- 5       7     3           1.63
   407 A Illinois Tech          19- 3      16     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Aurora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Adrian
Albertus Magnus Aurora   Aurora
Albion Aurora   Aurora
Albright Albright tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albright
Alfred Aurora   Aurora
Alfred State Aurora   Aurora
Allegheny Aurora   Aurora
Alma Aurora   Aurora
Alvernia Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Aurora   Aurora
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augsburg Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Augustana (IL) Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Aurora
Averett Averett   Averett
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baldwin Wallace
Bard Aurora   Aurora
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Aurora Aurora  
Berry Berry   Berry
Bethany Aurora   Aurora
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Aurora   Aurora
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State   Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State   Buffalo State
Cal Lutheran Cal Lutheran tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cal Lutheran
Calvin Calvin insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Calvin
Canton Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Capital Aurora   Aurora
Carroll Carroll Carroll  
Carthage Carthage Carthage  
Castleton Aurora   Aurora
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Aurora   Aurora
Centenary (NJ) Aurora   Aurora
Centre Centre   Centre
Chapman Chapman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chapman
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Chicago Chicago Chicago   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Aurora   Aurora
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer   Colby-Sawyer
Colorado College Colorado College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Aurora Aurora  
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Aurora Aurora   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Aurora   Aurora
Dean Aurora   Aurora
Delaware Valley Aurora   Aurora
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Aurora   Aurora
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Aurora   Aurora
Edgewood Aurora Aurora  
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Aurora insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Aurora
Elmira Aurora   Aurora
Elms Aurora   Aurora
Emerson Aurora   Aurora
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Aurora   Aurora
Ferrum Ferrum   Ferrum
Fitchburg State Aurora   Aurora
Framingham State Framingham State   Framingham State
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin Aurora   Aurora
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia   Fredonia
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Aurora   Aurora
George Fox George Fox   George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Aurora   Aurora
Goucher Goucher   Goucher
Greensboro Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Grove City Grove City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grove City
Guilford Aurora   Aurora
Gwynedd Mercy Aurora   Aurora
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Hamline tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Hamline
Hanover Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick   Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Aurora   Aurora
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope Hope  
Huntingdon Aurora   Aurora
Husson Aurora   Aurora
Illinois Tech Aurora Aurora  
Illinois Wesleyan Aurora Aurora  
Immaculata Aurora   Aurora
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll John Carroll   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kalamazoo
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kenyon
Keuka Aurora   Aurora
Kings Aurora   Aurora
La Roche Aurora   Aurora
Lake Forest Lake Forest tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell   Lasell
Lawrence Aurora Aurora   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark  
Linfield Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Aurora
Lycoming Aurora   Aurora
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Maine-Farmington Aurora   Aurora
Manhattanville Aurora   Aurora
Marian (WI) Aurora Aurora   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood   Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts-Boston Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Aurora   Aurora
McDaniel McDaniel   McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Meredith
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Aurora   Aurora
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Aurora   Aurora
Mount Aloysius Aurora   Aurora
Mount Holyoke Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Mount St Mary (NY) Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Mount Union Mount Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Union
MSOE Aurora Aurora  
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Aurora   Aurora
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Neumann   Neumann
New England College Aurora   Aurora
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Aurora   Aurora
North Central (IL) Aurora Aurora   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Norwich Norwich   Norwich
Notre Dame (MD) Aurora   Aurora
Oberlin Oberlin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oberlin
Occidental Occidental insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Occidental
Oglethorpe Aurora   Aurora
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Aurora   Aurora
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Pacific Aurora Aurora  
Pacific Lutheran Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Aurora
Pfeiffer Aurora   Aurora
Piedmont Piedmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Piedmont
Plattsburgh Aurora   Aurora
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Aurora   Aurora
Puget Sound Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Aurora
Purchase Aurora   Aurora
Ramapo Ramapo   Ramapo
Randolph Aurora   Aurora
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Aurora   Aurora
Rhode Island College Aurora   Aurora
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Aurora   Aurora
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Aurora   Aurora
Salem State Aurora   Aurora
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Aurora   Aurora
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Aurora   Aurora
Southwestern Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Spalding Aurora   Aurora
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (LI) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   St Josephs College (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) Aurora tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Aurora
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
Suffolk Suffolk   Suffolk
SUNY Poly Aurora   Aurora
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Aurora   Aurora
TCNJ TCNJ   TCNJ
Thiel Aurora   Aurora
Thomas Aurora   Aurora
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Aurora   Aurora
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Aurora   Aurora
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England   U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Vermont State-Lyndon   Vermont State-Lyndon
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Warren Wilson Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Aurora   Aurora
Wentworth Tech Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State   Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Westminster (PA)   Westminster (PA)
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   Wheaton (MA)
Whitman Whitman tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Whitman
Whittier Whittier   Whittier
Whitworth Whitworth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Whitworth
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Aurora   Aurora
Willamette Willamette tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Willamette
William Peace Aurora   Aurora
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Aurora   Aurora
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire  
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse  
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Aurora tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Aurora
Wisconsin-Stout Aurora tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Aurora
Wittenberg Aurora   Aurora
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worcester State Worcester State   Worcester State
York York   York

PowerWise = 110


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Illinois Wesle  ( 5- 7, 74.6)    14- 9      -25.27      13.93       0.31         0.81            11.51
   0 H Carroll         (10- 2, 87.8)     4-14      -12.12      27.08      -0.31         0.81           -10.05
   0 H Hope            ( 8- 2, 88.2)     7-14      -11.67      27.53      -0.31         0.81            -9.68
   0 A Carthage        (10- 2, 87.8)     2-11      -12.13      27.06       0.31         0.81            -9.55
   0 A Pacific         ( 5- 5, 76.9)    11- 9      -23.04      16.15       0.31         0.81            13.31
   0 A Lewis & Clark   ( 6- 4, 83.8)     8-13      -16.14      23.06       0.31         0.81           -12.79
   0 H Wisconsin-La C  ( 8- 3, 85.7)     7-15      -14.16      25.04      -0.31         0.81           -11.69
   0 H Wisconsin-Eau   ( 5- 3, 84.2)    10-16      -15.70      23.49      -0.31         0.81           -12.94
   0 H Concordia-Wisc  ( 6- 5, 74.5)    17- 4      -25.38      13.81      -0.31         0.81            10.91
   0 A Beloit          ( 0-10, 63.9)    21- 2      -36.01       3.19       0.31         0.81             2.83
   0 A MSOE            ( 4- 9, 76.6)    10- 8      -23.31      15.88       0.31         0.81            13.09
   0 H Edgewood        ( 4- 9, 76.5)    12- 5      -23.40      15.79      -0.31         0.81            12.51
   0 A Illinois Tech   ( 3-10, 71.9)    19- 3      -28.03      11.16       0.31         0.81             9.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         6.73

winning pts = 73.4376 losing points = -66.7115

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------