UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Aurora 3
  
Aurora                
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 80.1059

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Illinois Wesleyan CCIW ( 8- 9, 79.4) 10- 7 226 H Carthage CCIW (13- 4, 83.3) 5-17 301 A Carroll CCIW (13- 3, 83.3) 4-10 304 A Hope MIAA (13- 5, 86.8) 3-13 306 A Calvin MIAA (11- 6, 81.7) 8-11 314 A Wisconsin-River Falls WIAC (12- 5, 82.6) 12-11 315 A Wisconsin-La Crosse WIAC (10- 6, 82.2) 10-11 319 H St Marys (IN) MIAA ( 5- 9, 76.2) 14- 5 326 A Concordia-Wisconsin NACC ( 5-10, 73.6) 15- 5 329 H Beloit NACC ( 7- 7, 74.7) 21- 5 403 H MSOE NACC ( 6-12, 74.5) 18- 5 405 A Edgewood NACC (10- 8, 77.3) 20- 9 409 H Illinois Tech NACC ( 2-15, 67.3) 24- 1 412 H Lawrence NACC ( 1-12, 64.6) 24- 1 416 A Lake Forest NACC (14- 4, 82.7) 8-13 419 A Marian (WI) NACC ( 5-12, 71.7) 19- 1 423 H Cornell College NACC ( 7- 8, 75.5) 15- 6 430 H Edgewood NACC (10- 8, 77.3) 13-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Illinois Wesleyan      10- 7       3     1           1.85
   226 H Carthage                5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.28
   301 A Carroll                 4-10      -6    -4          -1.33
   304 A Hope                    3-13     -10    -7           0.00
   306 A Calvin                  8-11      -3    -2          -0.89
   314 A Wisconsin-River Falls  12-11       1    -3    ++     4.01
   315 A Wisconsin-La Crosse    10-11      -1    -3           1.55
   319 H St Marys (IN)          14- 5       9     4           0.57
   326 A Concordia-Wisconsin    15- 5      10     6           0.00
   329 H Beloit                 21- 5      16     6           0.00
   403 H MSOE                   18- 5      13     6           0.00
   405 A Edgewood               20- 9      11     2    +      2.68
   409 H Illinois Tech          24- 1      23    13           0.00
   412 H Lawrence               24- 1      23    16           0.00
   416 A Lake Forest             8-13      -5    -3          -1.89
   419 A Marian (WI)            19- 1      18     8           0.00
   423 H Cornell College        15- 6       9     5           0.00
   430 H Edgewood               13-14      -1     3    --    -4.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Edgewood               13-14      -1     3    --    -4.30
   226 H Carthage                5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Wisconsin-River Falls  12-11       1    -3    ++     4.01
   405 A Edgewood               20- 9      11     2    +      2.68

Aurora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Aurora insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Aurora
Albertus Magnus Aurora   Aurora
Albion Aurora tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Aurora
Albright Aurora   Aurora
Alfred Aurora   Aurora
Alfred State Aurora   Aurora
Allegheny Aurora   Aurora
Alma Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Aurora
Alvernia Aurora   Aurora
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Aurora
Anna Maria Aurora   Aurora
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augsburg Aurora Aurora   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Augustana (IL) Aurora Aurora   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Averett Aurora   Aurora
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Baldwin Wallace
Bard Aurora   Aurora
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Aurora Aurora  
Berry Berry insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Berry
Bethany Aurora   Aurora
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Aurora   Aurora
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State   Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State   Buffalo State
Cal Lutheran Cal Lutheran   Cal Lutheran
Calvin Calvin Calvin  
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital Capital   Capital
Carroll Carroll Carroll  
Carthage Carthage Carthage  
Castleton Aurora   Aurora
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Aurora   Aurora
Centenary (NJ) Aurora   Aurora
Centre Centre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centre
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Aurora   Aurora
Chicago Chicago Chicago   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Aurora   Aurora
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Aurora   Aurora
Colorado College Colorado College insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Aurora Aurora  
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Aurora Aurora  
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Aurora   Aurora
Dean Aurora   Aurora
Delaware Valley Aurora   Aurora
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Aurora   Aurora
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Aurora   Aurora
Edgewood Aurora Aurora   9- 2 vs 7- 4
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Aurora Aurora   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Elmira Aurora   Aurora
Elms Aurora   Aurora
Emerson Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Aurora   Aurora
Ferrum Aurora   Aurora
Fitchburg State Aurora   Aurora
Framingham State Framingham State   Framingham State
Franciscan Aurora   Aurora
Franklin Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia   Fredonia
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Aurora   Aurora
George Fox George Fox insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Aurora   Aurora
Goucher Aurora   Aurora
Greensboro Aurora   Aurora
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Aurora   Aurora
Gwynedd Mercy Aurora   Aurora
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Aurora Aurora   5- 2 vs 2- 4
Hanover Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick   Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Aurora tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Aurora
Hilbert Aurora   Aurora
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope Hope  
Huntingdon Aurora   Aurora
Husson Aurora   Aurora
Illinois Tech Aurora Aurora  
Illinois Wesleyan Aurora Aurora  
Immaculata Aurora   Aurora
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Aurora tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Aurora
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kenyon
Keuka Aurora   Aurora
Kings Aurora   Aurora
La Roche Aurora   Aurora
Lake Forest Lake Forest Lake Forest  
Lasell Aurora   Aurora
Lawrence Aurora Aurora  
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lewis & Clark Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Aurora
Linfield Aurora   Aurora
Lycoming Lycoming   Lycoming
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Maine-Farmington Aurora   Aurora
Manhattanville Aurora   Aurora
Marian (WI) Aurora Aurora  
Marietta Aurora   Aurora
Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood   Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts-Boston Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Massachusetts-Dartmouth   Massachusetts-Dartmouth
McDaniel McDaniel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Meredith
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist   Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Aurora   Aurora
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Aurora   Aurora
Mount Aloysius Aurora   Aurora
Mount Holyoke Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Joseph Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Mount St Mary (NY) Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Mount Union Mount Union insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount Union
MSOE Aurora Aurora  
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Aurora   Aurora
Nazareth Nazareth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nazareth
Neumann Neumann   Neumann
New England College Aurora   Aurora
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Aurora   Aurora
North Central (IL) Aurora insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) Aurora
Norwich Norwich   Norwich
Notre Dame (MD) Aurora   Aurora
Oberlin Oberlin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oberlin
Occidental Occidental   Occidental
Oglethorpe Oglethorpe   Oglethorpe
Ohio Northern Aurora   Aurora
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Aurora   Aurora
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Aurora   Aurora
Pacific Aurora   Aurora
Pacific Lutheran Aurora   Aurora
Pfeiffer Aurora   Aurora
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Plattsburgh Aurora   Aurora
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Aurora   Aurora
Puget Sound Aurora   Aurora
Purchase Aurora   Aurora
Ramapo Aurora   Aurora
Randolph Aurora   Aurora
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Aurora   Aurora
Rhode Island College Aurora   Aurora
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Aurora   Aurora
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Aurora   Aurora
Salem State Aurora   Aurora
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Aurora   Aurora
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Aurora   Aurora
Southwestern Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Aurora
Spalding Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (LI) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   St Josephs College (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) Aurora Aurora  
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
Suffolk Aurora   Aurora
SUNY Poly Aurora   Aurora
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Aurora   Aurora
TCNJ TCNJ   TCNJ
Thiel Aurora   Aurora
Thomas Aurora   Aurora
Transylvania Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Trine Trine insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Trine
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Aurora   Aurora
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England   U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Aurora   Aurora
Virginia Wesleyan Aurora   Aurora
Warren Wilson Aurora   Aurora
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Aurora   Aurora
Wentworth Tech Aurora   Aurora
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State   Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Aurora   Aurora
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   Wheaton (MA)
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Whittier Aurora   Aurora
Whitworth Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Aurora   Aurora
Willamette Willamette insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Willamette
William Peace Aurora   Aurora
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Aurora   Aurora
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse  
Wisconsin-River Falls Aurora Aurora  
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Aurora Aurora   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Wisconsin-Stout Aurora insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Aurora
Wittenberg Aurora   Aurora
Wooster Wooster Wooster   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Worcester State Worcester State   Worcester State
York York   York

PowerWise = 132


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Illinois Wesle  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    10- 7      -20.46      20.26      -0.49         0.88            17.49
   0 H Carthage        (13- 4, 83.3)     5-17      -16.58      24.13      -0.49         0.88           -15.11
   0 A Carroll         (13- 3, 83.3)     4-10      -16.62      24.10       0.49         0.88           -14.27
   0 A Hope            (13- 5, 86.8)     3-13      -13.12      27.60       0.49         0.88           -11.17
   0 A Calvin          (11- 6, 81.7)     8-11      -18.18      22.54       0.49         0.88           -15.65
   0 A Wisconsin-Rive  (12- 5, 82.6)    12-11      -17.27      23.44       0.49         0.88            21.18
   0 A Wisconsin-La C  (10- 6, 82.2)    10-11      -17.74      22.98       0.49         0.88           -15.26
   0 H St Marys (IN)   ( 5- 9, 76.2)    14- 5      -23.74      16.98      -0.49         0.88            14.59
   0 A Concordia-Wisc  ( 5-10, 73.6)    15- 5      -26.30      14.42       0.49         0.88            13.19
   0 H Beloit          ( 7- 7, 74.7)    21- 5      -25.20      15.52      -0.49         0.88            13.30
   0 H MSOE            ( 6-12, 74.5)    18- 5      -25.43      15.29      -0.49         0.88            13.09
   0 A Edgewood        (10- 8, 77.3)    20- 9      -22.60      18.11       0.49         0.88            16.46
   0 H Illinois Tech   ( 2-15, 67.3)    24- 1      -32.64       8.07      -0.49         0.88             6.71
   0 H Lawrence        ( 1-12, 64.6)    24- 1      -35.31       5.40      -0.49         0.88             4.34
   0 A Lake Forest     (14- 4, 82.7)     8-13      -17.17      23.54       0.49         0.88           -14.76
   0 A Marian (WI)     ( 5-12, 71.7)    19- 1      -28.24      12.47       0.49         0.88            11.47
   0 H Cornell Colleg  ( 7- 8, 75.5)    15- 6      -24.41      16.30      -0.49         0.88            13.99
   0 H Edgewood        (10- 8, 77.3)    13-14      -22.60      18.11      -0.49         0.88           -20.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        39.16

winning pts = 145.8204 losing points = -106.6557

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------